{"id":206,"date":"2021-01-25T09:34:50","date_gmt":"2021-01-25T08:34:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/1-zpravy.cz\/?p=206"},"modified":"2021-01-25T09:34:52","modified_gmt":"2021-01-25T08:34:52","slug":"grafy-vysledku-boje-proti-koronakrize-nejde-o-volbu-mezi-zachranou-ekonomiky-a-zachranou-zivotu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/1-zpravy.cz\/?p=206","title":{"rendered":"Grafy v\u00fdsledk\u016f boje proti koronakr\u00edze: Nejde o volbu mezi z\u00e1chranou ekonomiky a z\u00e1chranou \u017eivot\u016f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Koronakr\u00edza si vy\u017e\u00e1dala rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 n\u00e1klady. Pochopiteln\u011b existuje obava, \u017ee zp\u0159\u00edsn\u011bn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed proti viru zhor\u0161uj\u00ed jeho dopad na ekonomiku. Ve v\u00fdsledku vznikla tendence pova\u017eovat tento probl\u00e9m za kompromis mezi zdravotn\u00edmi a ekonomick\u00fdmi n\u00e1klady. \u00dadaje z cel\u00e9ho sv\u011bta v\u0161ak takov\u00fd n\u00e1zor zcela vyvracej\u00ed.
Pod\u00edvejme se na dostupn\u00e9 \u00fadaje z 45 zem\u00ed z Organizace pro hospod\u00e1\u0159skou spolupr\u00e1ci a rozvoj. Statistiky COVID-19 \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed \u00famrt\u00edch na milion obyvatel. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd jednotliv\u00fd ukazatel nen\u00ed dokonal\u00fd a tato \u010d\u00edsla ne v\u017edy odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed kontextov\u00e9 faktory, kter\u00e9 se vztahuj\u00ed na konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed zem\u011b, ale tento ukazatel n\u00e1m umo\u017e\u0148uje vytvo\u0159it p\u0159im\u011b\u0159en\u011b p\u0159esn\u00fd glob\u00e1ln\u00ed obraz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ekonomick\u00e9 ukazatele, kter\u00e9 porovn\u00e1me, pat\u0159\u00ed mezi nejpou\u017e\u00edvan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed na celkov\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed v\u00fdkonnosti n\u00e1rodn\u00edho hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed. Hrub\u00fd dom\u00e1c\u00ed produkt na obyvatele je indexem n\u00e1rodn\u00edho bohatstv\u00ed. Export a import m\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed ekonomickou aktivitu zem\u011b. V\u00fddaje na soukromou spot\u0159ebu jsou ukazatelem toho, jak se ekonomice da\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00da\u010dinky na HDP na obyvatele
Prvn\u00ed graf zobrazuje \u00famrt\u00ed na milion obyvatel na COVID-19 oproti procentu\u00e1ln\u00ed zm\u011bn\u011b HDP na obyvatele v pr\u016fb\u011bhu druh\u00e9ho \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed 2020. Velikost ka\u017ed\u00e9ho datov\u00e9ho bodu ukazuje \u0161k\u00e1lu \u00famrt\u00ed na milion lid\u00ed k 30. \u010dervnu pomoc\u00ed logaritmick\u00e9 stupnice, zp\u016fsobu zobrazen\u00ed velmi \u0161irok\u00e9ho rozsahu hodnot v kompaktn\u00ed grafick\u00e9 podob\u011b. Pokud by potla\u010den\u00ed viru, kter\u00e9 by vedlo k men\u0161\u00edmu po\u010dtu \u00famrt\u00ed na milion, m\u011blo za n\u00e1sledek v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 poklesy, pak by se v\u00fdkyv na obr\u00e1zku do pozitivn\u00edho p\u00e1sma. Ale opak je pravdou, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e celkov\u00e1 korelace je -0,412. V\u00fdjimkou je nap\u0159\u00edklad \u010c\u00edna (v lev\u00e9m horn\u00edm rohu s pozitivn\u00ed zm\u011bnou HDP na obyvatele) \u010di Indie v doln\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti. \u010c\u00edna zavedla \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 tvrd\u00e9 blokov\u00e1n\u00ed a karant\u00e9nn\u00ed postupy, co\u017e znamenalo, \u017ee ekonomick\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dinky byly omezen\u00e9. Indie zavedla \u010dasn\u00e9 tvrd\u00e9 zablokov\u00e1n\u00ed, ale od t\u00e9 doby jsou jej\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9. Odstran\u011bn\u00ed obou zem\u00ed z \u00fadaj\u016f ponech\u00e1v\u00e1 korelaci -0,464.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00fdvoz a dovoz
Druh\u00fd graf ukazuje vztah mezi \u00famrt\u00edmi na milion obyvatel ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s procentn\u00ed zm\u011bnou v\u00fdvozu. Kdyby existoval jasn\u00fd kompromis mezi dopady viru a umo\u017en\u011bn\u00edm mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho obchodu, vid\u011bli bychom pozitivn\u00ed vztah mezi zm\u011bnami v exportu a m\u00edrou \u00famrtnosti. M\u00edsto toho se zd\u00e1, \u017ee mezi ob\u011bma neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd vztah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u0159et\u00ed graf ukazuje vztah mezi \u00famrt\u00edmi na milion obyvatel a procentu\u00e1ln\u00ed zm\u011bnou dovozu. Stejn\u011b jako v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00fdvozu by se kompromis projevil v pozitivn\u00edm vztahu. Ale ani zde nejsou d\u016fkazy o takov\u00e9m vztahu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00e9 v\u00fddaje
\u010ctvrt\u00fd graf ukazuje vztah mezi \u00famrt\u00edmi na milion obyvatel a procentn\u00ed zm\u011bnou ve v\u00fddaj\u00edch na soukromou spot\u0159ebu. Dopl\u0148uje obraz, kter\u00fd z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1me z dovozu a v\u00fdvozu, sledov\u00e1n\u00edm spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f jako ukazatele vnit\u0159n\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 aktivity. Op\u011bt \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd pozitivn\u00ed vztah. Nam\u00edsto toho celkov\u00fd negativn\u00ed vztah nazna\u010duje, \u017ee zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 dok\u00e1zaly (alespo\u0148 do\u010dasn\u011b) potla\u010dit virus, byli na tom ekonomicky l\u00e9pe ne\u017e ty zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 uplatnily p\u0159\u00edstup laissez faire (politiku nezasahov\u00e1n\u00ed st\u00e1tu do hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Koronakr\u00edza si vy\u017e\u00e1dala rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 n\u00e1klady. Pochopiteln\u011b existuje obava, \u017ee zp\u0159\u00edsn\u011bn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed proti viru zhor\u0161uj\u00ed jeho dopad na ekonomiku. Ve v\u00fdsledku vznikla tendence pova\u017eovat tento probl\u00e9m za kompromis mezi zdravotn\u00edmi a ekonomick\u00fdmi n\u00e1klady. \u00dadaje z cel\u00e9ho sv\u011bta v\u0161ak takov\u00fd n\u00e1zor zcela vyvracej\u00ed.Pod\u00edvejme se na dostupn\u00e9 \u00fadaje z 45 zem\u00ed z Organizace pro hospod\u00e1\u0159skou spolupr\u00e1ci a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":207,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-206","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-finance"],"amp_enabled":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/1-zpravy.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/206","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/1-zpravy.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/1-zpravy.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1-zpravy.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1-zpravy.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=206"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/1-zpravy.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/206\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1-zpravy.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/207"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/1-zpravy.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=206"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1-zpravy.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=206"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1-zpravy.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=206"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}